Mobile is 63% of Thanksgiving spend: build 9:16 product video first
Adobe expects mobile to drive 63% of Thanksgiving spend and 57.4% of the season. Make the vertical master first, then derive the 16:9 and square cuts.

Adobe's holiday forecast puts mobile at 63% of Thanksgiving Day online spend, up from 61.6% in 2025, and at 57.4% of the whole November-December season. If most buyers see your product clip on a phone, the vertical version is the master and the wide one is the adaptation. Sume's Seedance 2.5, Kling 3 and other video models take an aspect ratio and a packshot, so you can generate the 9:16 first and check the rest against each marketplace's limit.
What the forecast supports
The forecast supports one narrow decision: where to start. It does not say that vertical video converts better on your listing page, and it makes no claim about ad performance.
| Window | Mobile share |
|---|---|
| Thanksgiving 2026 forecast | 63% |
| Thanksgiving 2025 | 61.6% |
| Nov-Dec season 2026 forecast | 57.4% |
Vertical first, then derive
Generate or animate the clip at 9:16 with the product centered, since cropping a wide frame to vertical tends to cut the product at the edges while the reverse adds padding you control. Keep the product inside the middle of the frame so a later crop to 4:5 or 1:1 still shows it.
Shopify's file page lists 16:9, 9:16, 4:3, 3:4 and 1:1 as its recommended video aspect ratios, so a 9:16 master is accepted for a product page as is. Other marketplaces differ; Amazon's Sponsored Products video guide recommends 16:9, so that placement needs a wide cut.
- Render the 9:16 master first and review it on a phone.
- Put captions on with the standalone captions endpoint for sound-off viewing.
- Make 1:1 or 16:9 variants only for placements that require them.
Limits
Mobile share describes where money is spent, not which creative wins. A model's output is also not guaranteed to keep packaging text legible, so look at the finished frame at phone size before you publish. Adobe's numbers are a forecast for U.S. online sales and may not match your market.
Sources
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