2 in 5 holiday shoppers start before November: an October clip plan
NRF says about two in five holiday shoppers start before November. A four-week October calendar of captioned clips, costed at Sume flat rates.

NRF's winter holiday FAQ says roughly two out of every five holiday shoppers begin browsing and buying before November, mainly to budget better and avoid crowds. That makes October the first week of the season, not a warm-up. A four-week calendar of one captioned clip per week costs about $1.38 on Sume at the flat finishing rates, before any generation cost.
What NRF says about timing
The FAQ defines the winter holidays as November 1 through December 31 and says holiday sales averaged about 19% of total retail sales over the last five years. It also reports the reasons early shoppers give. Those reasons tell you what an October clip should say.
| Measure | NRF figure |
|---|---|
| Shoppers who start before November | about 2 in 5 |
| Main reasons given | budgeting, avoiding crowds |
| Holiday period definition | Nov. 1 through Dec. 31 |
| Holiday share of annual retail sales | about 19% (five-year average) |
Write to the reasons, not the date
A viewer who starts early wants to spread cost and skip crowds. An October clip can say what you will have in stock, what the price is today, and how to order without queuing. It does not need a countdown, since the deadline is weeks away.
- Week 1: the item and the price, with one line on delivery time.
- Week 2: a gift set or bundle, with what is in it written as captions.
- Week 3: how to order ahead, with pickup or ship dates.
- Week 4: a short reminder that the same items are available now.
Cut it from one shoot
Shoot one 60-second master per item and cut the weekly clips from it. Use video trim for each range, join the chosen ranges for the weekly cut with Timeline 1.0, and burn the weekly text with video captions using authored cues.
Authored cues skip speech-to-text, so you control the exact wording, which matters for a price line that must match the page.
| Week | Trims | Timeline render | Captions | Weekly cost |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 x $0.02 | $0.10 | $0.20 | $0.34 |
| 2 | 2 x $0.02 | $0.10 | $0.20 | $0.34 |
| 3 | 3 x $0.02 | $0.10 | $0.20 | $0.36 |
| 4 | 2 x $0.02 | $0.10 | $0.20 | $0.34 |
| Total | 9 x $0.02 | $0.40 | $0.80 | $1.38 |
What to leave out of October clips
Leave out urgency you cannot back up. If the price does not change on November 1, do not imply it will. A shopper who started early to budget is the shopper most likely to notice a fake deadline, and the cue text is yours to write, so keep it literal.
Keep each clip to one claim. A 15-second cut with a price, a delivery date and a bundle list is three claims, and the viewer will remember none. Pick the one that matters this week and write it as a single caption cue, then move the rest to the next week's cut.
Reuse the same trims where the footage still fits. A product shot from week 1 can appear in week 3 inside a different cut, and the only new spend is the render and the captions.
Check the sums before you plan
The weekly rows add up to $1.38. Every figure here is a flat Sume finishing rate from the docs. A Timeline render also needs an audio spine, which you can detach from the master for $0.01 per job, so add about $0.01 per clip, or declare audio.mode as silence for clips with caption-only sound; generating new footage is priced separately by model, and the catalog endpoint is the place to confirm live rates.
The NRF page does not state a year for these figures, so check its current edition before you quote a number in ad copy.
Sources
Related posts
More in Use cases
- Two video models in one episode: match their colour with video filter
Clips from different models may not share a grade. Test an eq or colortemperature pass for free with /v1/video-filter/check, then encode at $0.02 a clip.
- UGC ad casting test: one script across three AI avatars
Test which AI spokesperson sells your script: create three Sume previews with the same copy, pick a still, then render only the winner. Curl loop and costs.
- Put customer review text in a Format's input, not instruction
For UGC testimonial variants, send review text in a Format run's input object, not instruction. Input is carried whole as a file the agent treats as data.
- UGC-style AI video ad: model checklist for 9:16, audio, product photo
For a vertical UGC-style ad, check four things on the model: 9:16, audio, a first-frame or reference photo, and the clip length. Sume rows that pass.
Written by Sume